Arguments for an Iraq-style surge in Afghanistan that were launched this weekend by conservative politicians, notably Senators John McCain (R-AZ), Mitch McConnell (R-KY), and Lindsey Graham (R-SC) are missing one crucial element – a correct understanding of what actually happened in Iraq. On the airwaves they advocated a one-size fits-all approach to resolving the conflict, predictably arguing for an Iraq-style surge in Afghanistan. However, they fail to comprehend what actually happened in Iraq. Experts attest that the crucial factor in dampening the violence in Iraq were the deals – and not the temporary troop increase - that U.S. forces cut with Sunni insurgents, creating the so-called Anbar Awakening.

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On Friday, one of the GOP’s top national security voices in the House of Representatives, Peter Hoekstra (R-MI), contradicted the leadership of his own party by acknowledging the reality that U.S. prisons are capable of holding Guantanamo detainees. Leading conservatives have launched numerous political attacks over the last few months arguing that closing Guantanamo would bring terrorists into our backyards. These arguments, as President Obama said in May, are not “rational.”

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A clear and striking split has emerged amongst conservatives in response to the situation in Iran. Moderates, realists and GOP foreign policy leaders have all come out in support of the Administration’s approach and attacked neoconservative calls for meddling more in Iran. On the other hand, neoconservatives and the party’s political leadership have taken to the op-ed pages and the airwaves to denounce Obama’s approach and have called for more direct intervention in Iran.

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This crisis is critical to the security of the United States. Pakistan possesses nuclear weapons, has served as safe haven for al Qaeda and other international terrorist groups, has frequently gone to war with India, and holds some of the keys to U.S. efforts in Afghanistan. Yet despite Pakistan’s critical importance, we are only now emerging from eight years without a comprehensive Pakistan strategy.

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This weekend conservatives renewed their efforts to defend the failed legacy of the Bush era and sow public fear to undermine the new Administration. 

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The successful operation to free Captain Richard Phillips off the coast of Somalia is a small but significant victory for the Obama national security team. However, this small incident represents a much larger and continuing problem. The challenge going forward will be addressing piracy in the context of Somalia’s greater problems and the US’s many competing priorities -- and finding approaches that will be effective in the context of the difficult US history there.  

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The Obama administration is dealing with the crisis by seeking a global solution for a global problem.  Yesterday, Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner unveiled a proposal to shore up the IMF and ensure that global institutions have the resources they need to help failing economies.  There is still no international consensus on this plan and much difficult work must be done before the upcoming G-20 summit in April.  Unfortunately, rather than addressing these serious issues and helping find a constructive solution, conservatives in Washington are playing politics by railing against earmarks, which make up only 2% of the federal budget. 

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Colin Powell’s endorsement of Senator Obama signifies the culmination of a long simmering split within the conservative foreign policy establishment between neoconservatives and pragmatists.

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Nick Burns, the former Undersecretary of State for Political Affairs and highest ranking career diplomat in the Bush administration from 2004-2007, has become the latest foreign policy expert to oppose McCain’s refusal to talk with our enemies. After eight years of reckless foreign policy and ineffective diplomacy, the American public is looking for someone who acts smart instead of just talking tough.

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For the past thirty years, the Republican party’s foreign policy establishment has consisted of an uneasy alliance between Neoconservatives and pragmatists. The Iraq war put the alliance under great strain. The decision of Colin Powell, long a leader in the pragmatic conservative camp, to endorse Barack Obama is the strongest of recent signals that the alliance is broken for good.

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